2026 Projections

Preseason · every team’s current roster, optimal lineup off Sleeper’s weekly player projections, 6,000-sim Monte Carlo of the rest of the season · updated Sep 9

Preseason means everyone's undefeated and delusional. The roster math says jheinz2557 is the team to beat and roughly half of you should not be making plans for January.

#TeamPts/WkProj. RecordPlayoffsTitleLast
1JKittles ‘N Bits 2.0jheinz2557136.610.63.499%45%0.0%
2TrevorNacua MatataTrevor129.09.34.794%22%0.0%
3RJeu Man Grouprafeldm127.09.14.992%20%0.1%
4Jjwilson2309jwilson2309115.38.15.974%4.6%0.3%
5Kkeithwolfkeithwolf115.57.36.759%3.1%0.4%
6Jjkues25jkues25112.87.26.852%1.7%1.1%
7JShow Me The Lovejgunner34115.66.97.151%2.0%1.2%
8TGame of JonesTShaw21109.86.47.632%0.4%2.3%
9KKwilcut1Kwilcut1109.76.17.927%0.6%3.5%
10LLockoLocko106.15.28.812%0.1%8.3%
11JSuck Maye Black Dickerjbrand23105.84.99.19.2%0.0%10%
12LDanny Dimeslukepakosta96.72.811.20.4%0.0%73%

The Tape

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1. jheinz2557Kittles ‘N Bits 2.0 · proj 10.6 wins · 136.6 pts/wk · 45.2% title

Projected first and still ringless — you've had the best roster before and found a way.

QB Lamar Jackson 20.9RB Bijan Robinson 21.5RB Chase Brown 16.8WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba 19.7WR Justin Jefferson 16.8TE Colston Loveland 14.2K Will Reichard 6.7DEF LAC DEF 8.5RB Saquon Barkley 14.9
Trevor
2. TrevorNacua Matata · proj 9.3 wins · 129.0 pts/wk · 22.2% title

1 rings and the 2nd projection. Insufferable is a lifestyle.

QB Tyler Shough 17.2RB Jahmyr Gibbs 23.7RB Kyren Williams 14.4WR Puka Nacua 20.5WR CeeDee Lamb 17.1TE Jake Ferguson 9.7K Eddy Pineiro 6.4DEF LAR DEF 7.1RB David Montgomery 13.9
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3. rafeldmJeu Man Group · proj 9.1 wins · 127.0 pts/wk · 20.4% title

30-26 for your career and this year won't move it much.

QB Joe Burrow 20.1RB Christian McCaffrey 21.0RB RJ Harvey 10.2WR Amon-Ra St. Brown 19.8WR A.J. Brown 16.8TE Trey McBride 15.6K Harrison Butker 6.4DEF GB DEF 6.9WR Tee Higgins 15.6
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4. jwilson2309jwilson2309 · proj 8.1 wins · 115.3 pts/wk · 4.6% title

4th seed, 4.6% title odds. A playoff cameo.

QB Jordan Love 17.4RB Rhamondre Stevenson 16.4RB Javonte Williams 15.5WR Ja'Marr Chase 19.7WR Drake London 15.8TE Isaiah Likely 9.6K Trey Smack 7.2DEF JAX DEF 9.5WR Tetairoa McMillan 14.0
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5. keithwolfkeithwolf · proj 7.3 wins · 115.5 pts/wk · 3.1% title

5th seed, 3.1% title odds. A playoff cameo.

QB Jared Goff 18.2RB De'Von Achane 17.5RB Jaylen Warren 13.3WR George Pickens 16.6WR Jaylen Waddle 14.8TE Travis Kelce 11.0K Jake Bates 7.2DEF SEA DEF 8.8WR Mike Evans 12.8
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6. jkues25jkues25 · proj 7.2 wins · 112.8 pts/wk · 1.7% title

6th seed, 1.7% title odds. A playoff cameo.

QB Kyler Murray 17.4RB Jonathan Taylor 19.6RB Omarion Hampton 15.6WR Rashee Rice 14.5WR Khalil Shakir 11.4TE Hunter Henry 9.4K Ka'imi Fairbairn 6.8DEF PIT DEF 8.9RB Rico Dowdle 12.5
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7. jgunner34Show Me The Love · proj 6.9 wins · 115.6 pts/wk · 2.0% title

Projected 7th, outside the cut. The roster says spectator.

QB Josh Allen 21.1RB Travis Etienne 15.0RB Breece Hall 13.9WR Chris Olave 16.2WR Carnell Tate 11.8TE Sam LaPorta 13.5K Cam Little 6.5DEF BAL DEF 7.4RB Jeremiyah Love 13.3
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8. TShaw21Game of Jones · proj 6.4 wins · 109.8 pts/wk · 0.4% title

1st to 8th in one offseason. Impressive, in a way.

QB Brock Purdy 18.8RB Derrick Henry 15.7RB Kenny Gainwell 9.5WR Garrett Wilson 13.5WR Davante Adams 12.3TE Brock Bowers 16.0K Jason Myers 6.9DEF NE DEF 6.7WR Parker Washington 11.9
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9. Kwilcut1Kwilcut1 · proj 6.1 wins · 109.7 pts/wk · 0.6% title

9th and on the outside looking in. Bench some of that hope.

QB Jalen Hurts 20.0RB James Cook 17.1RB Kenneth Walker 16.0WR Zay Flowers 15.6WR Ladd McConkey 13.3TE Brenton Strange 8.2K Brandon Aubrey 6.8DEF KC DEF 8.5WR Jalen Coker 12.1
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10. LockoLocko · proj 5.2 wins · 106.1 pts/wk · 0.1% title

10th and on the outside looking in. Bench some of that hope.

QB Jayden Daniels 19.0RB Ashton Jeanty 13.8RB D'Andre Swift 13.6WR Malik Nabers 13.9WR Josh Downs 12.5TE Tyler Warren 13.9K Evan McPherson 6.8DEF MIN DEF 7.3RB Quinshon Judkins 12.2
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11. jbrand23Suck Maye Black Dicker · proj 4.9 wins · 105.8 pts/wk · 0.0% title

Projected 11th, outside the cut. The roster says spectator.

QB Drake Maye 19.7RB Cam Skattebo 14.0RB Rachaad White 10.3WR Nico Collins 17.4WR Jameson Williams 13.9TE Dalton Kincaid 9.4K Cameron Dicker 7.2DEF PHI DEF 8.7WR Quentin Johnston 11.1
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12. lukepakostaDanny Dimes · proj 2.8 wins · 96.7 pts/wk · 0.0% title

The roster projects for 97 a week. That's not a lineup, it's a cry for help.

QB Dak Prescott 18.9RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt 10.8RB Blake Corum 8.5WR Terry McLaurin 13.6WR Luther Burden 13.5TE Dalton Schultz 9.4K Harrison Mevis 7.1DEF CHI DEF 6.8WR DJ Moore 12.1

Projected points come from Sleeper’s weekly player projections with the optimal lineup set each week (bench points don’t count). Roasts by the house AI off each team’s real numbers.