2026 · Week 10

Projected scores (optimal lineup off Sleeper's weekly projections)

The linehold 4.5%

Trevor-24-52580.4%

jbrand23+24+39019.6%

O/U 234.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

Trevor117.5 proj

QBPatrick Mahomes QB·KC18.8
RBJahmyr Gibbs RB·DET24.6
RBKyren Williams RB·LAR17.9
WRPuka Nacua WR·LAR—
WRCeeDee Lamb WR·DAL20.3
TEMason Taylor TE·NYJ7.8
FLEXTre Tucker WR·LV10.0
KSpencer Shrader K·IND9.9
DEFLAR DEF DEF·LAR8.2

Bench

Tyler Shough QB·NO17.3
Cam Ward QB·TEN13.1
David Montgomery RB·HOU11.1
Darren Waller TE·CAR8.4
Brandon McManus K·LAR7.4
Oronde Gadsden TE·LAC4.6
Isaac TeSlaa WR·DET4.2
Terrance Ferguson TE·LAR—
Kyle Monangai RB·CHI—
Ted Hurst III WR·TB—
Tyreek Hill WR—
Jake Ferguson TE·DAL—

jbrand2398.6 proj

QBDrake Maye QB·NE23.0
RBRachaad White RB·WAS10.7
RBBraelon Allen RB·NYJ10.6
WRNico Collins WR·HOU16.6
WRJameson Williams WR·DET12.5
TET.J. Hockenson TE·MIN10.5
FLEXMike Washington Jr. RB·LV5.9
KJake Bates K·DET8.8
DEFPHI DEF DEF·PHI—

Bench

Cam Skattebo RB·NYG12.1
Dalton Kincaid TE·BUF11.0
Xavier Worthy WR·KC10.3
Quentin Johnston WR·LAC6.7
Tyjae Spears RB·TEN6.4
Cameron Dicker K·LAC6.3
Kaelon Black RB·SF5.5
Jaleel McLaughlin RB·CLE1.0
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB·NYG—
Raheim Sanders RB·CLE—
Fernando Mendoza QB·LV—
Makai Lemon WR·PHI—

The linehold 4.5%

jheinz2557-24.5-48579.3%

keithwolf+24.5+36520.7%

O/U 252.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

keithwolf82.7 proj

QBJared Goff QB·DET18.8
RBOllie Gordon II RB·MIA12.7
RBJ.K. Dobbins RB·DEN—
WRGeorge Pickens WR·DAL13.8
WRJaylen Waddle WR·DEN—
TETravis Kelce TE·KC12.8
FLEXDeMario Douglas WR·NE7.8
KCam Little K·JAX9.1
DEFSEA DEF DEF·SEA7.7

Bench

Jaylen Warren RB·PIT16.7
Tony Pollard RB·TEN12.1
Juwan Johnson TE·NO10.7
Jordyn Tyson WR·NO10.4
Chris Bell WR·MIA6.2
TreVeyon Henderson RB·NE5.9
Rashod Bateman WR·BAL5.4
Keaton Mitchell RB·LAC4.7
Will Shipley RB·PHI—
Mike Evans WR·SF—
De'Von Achane RB·MIA—

jheinz2557121.1 proj

QBCaleb Williams QB·CHI—
RBBijan Robinson RB·ATL19.9
RBChase Brown RB·CIN13.0
WRJustin Jefferson WR·MIN17.0
WRJaxon Smith-Njigba WR·SEA24.5
TEGeorge Kittle TE·SF16.2
FLEXChristian Watson WR·GB16.5
KHarrison Butker K·KC7.7
DEFNO DEF DEF·NO6.3

Bench

Matthew Stafford QB·LAR16.9
Tucker Kraft TE·GB10.6
Germie Bernard WR·PIT10.2
Ryan Flournoy WR·DAL9.1
BUF DEF DEF·BUF6.8
CIN DEF DEF·CIN6.6
Malachi Fields WR·NYG6.1
Colston Loveland TE·CHI—
Saquon Barkley RB·PHI—
Lamar Jackson QB·BAL—
DeVonta Smith WR·PHI—
Isiah Pacheco RB·DET—

The linehold 4.5%

Locko-27.5-60084.8%

rafeldm+27.5+40015.2%

O/U 213.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

Locko97.0 proj

QBJayden Daniels QB·WAS19.4
RBJonah Coleman RB·DEN—
RBChuba Hubbard RB·CAR17.9
WRMalik Nabers WR·NYG17.3
WRParker Washington WR·JAX15.7
TETyler Warren TE·IND12.3
FLEXD'Andre Swift RB·CHI—
KMatt Gay K·LV8.1
DEFMIN DEF DEF·MIN6.3

Bench

Bryce Young QB·CAR19.7
Ashton Jeanty RB·LV12.5
Jakobi Meyers WR·JAX10.7
Josh Downs WR·IND10.0
Jadarian Price RB·SEA9.1
Tyler Higbee TE·LAR8.7
Keon Coleman WR·BUF8.4
Zonovan Knight RB·ARI7.7
Antonio Williams WR·WAS7.3
Ricky Pearsall WR·SF—
Jayden Higgins WR·HOU—
Chris Godwin Jr. WR·TB—

rafeldm92.8 proj

QBBo Nix QB·DEN—
RBEmmett Johnson RB·KC6.8
RBAlvin Kamara RB·NO6.9
WRTetairoa McMillan WR·CAR15.8
WRAmon-Ra St. Brown WR·DET19.5
TETrey McBride TE·ARI15.6
FLEXLadd McConkey WR·LAC12.1
KNick Folk K·ATL7.8
DEFGB DEF DEF·GB8.3

Bench

KC Concepcion Jr. WR·CLE9.8
Mark Andrews TE·BAL8.1
David Njoku TE·LAC4.1
Kaytron Allen RB·MIA1.3
Skyler Bell WR·BUF0.3
Nicholas Singleton RB·TEN0.2
Trey Benson RB·ARI—
RJ Harvey RB·DEN—
Pat Bryant WR·DEN—
Emeka Egbuka WR·TB—
Zachariah Branch WR·ATL—
Eli Stowers TE·PHI—

The linehold 4.5%

jkues25-11-22566.1%

lukepakosta+11+18033.9%

O/U 187.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

lukepakosta58.5 proj

QBTrevor Lawrence QB·JAX21.6
RBZach Charbonnet RB·SEA10.3
RBWoody Marks RB·HOU9.0
WRLuther Burden III WR·CHI—
WRMichael Wilson WR·ARI—
TEDalton Schultz TE·HOU7.7
FLEXDevin Singletary RB·NYG9.9
KCairo Santos K·CHI—
DEFTB DEF DEF·TB—

Bench

Dak Prescott QB·DAL18.9
DJ Moore WR·BUF14.6
DK Metcalf WR·PIT11.1
Pat Freiermuth TE·PIT10.9
Blake Corum RB·LAR9.9
Caleb Douglas WR·MIA8.0
Ja'Kobi Lane WR·BAL5.5
Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB·WAS—
De'Zhaun Stribling WR·SF—
Courtland Sutton WR·DEN—
Terry McLaurin WR·WAS—
Alec Pierce WR·IND—

jkues2580.5 proj

QBCarson Wentz QB·MIN12.5
RBJonathan Taylor RB·IND17.1
RBOmarion Hampton RB·LAC8.6
WRRashee Rice WR·KC15.1
WRCooper Kupp WR·SEA6.9
TEHunter Henry TE·NE9.9
FLEXKeenan Allen WR·IND10.4
KJake Elliott K·PHI—
DEFDEN DEF DEF·DEN—

Bench

Deebo Samuel Sr. WR·SF10.7
Khalil Shakir WR·BUF10.4
Rico Dowdle RB·PIT9.6
Ka'imi Fairbairn K·HOU8.3
AJ Barner TE·SEA7.9
PIT DEF DEF·PIT5.7
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR·HOU4.7
Tank Dell WR·HOU2.6
DJ Giddens RB·IND0.2
Sam Darnold QB·SEA—
Kyler Murray QB·MIN—

The linehold 4.5%

jwilson2309-1.5-12052%

jgunner34+1.5-10048%

O/U 256.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

jgunner34112.1 proj

QBJosh Allen QB·BUF26.3
RBBhayshul Tuten RB·JAX16.3
RBTyler Allgeier RB·ARI9.7
WRChris Olave WR·NO16.2
WRMatthew Golden WR·GB13.7
TESam LaPorta TE·DET12.8
FLEXRome Odunze WR·CHI—
KWill Reichard K·MIN8.6
DEFBAL DEF DEF·BAL8.5

Bench

Aaron Rodgers QB·PIT17.3
Carnell Tate WR·TEN13.8
Travis Etienne Jr. RB·NO11.4
Breece Hall RB·NYJ9.2
Kyle Pitts Sr. TE·ATL8.4
HOU DEF DEF·HOU8.2
Tre' Harris WR·LAC4.7
Brian Thomas Jr. WR·JAX4.3
George Holani RB·SEA2.9
Jonathon Brooks RB·CAR—
Jaxson Dart QB·NYG—
Jeremiyah Love RB·ARI—

jwilson2309114.9 proj

QBJordan Love QB·GB17.1
RBChristian McCaffrey RB·SF22.5
RBBucky Irving RB·TB—
WRDrake London WR·ATL16.4
WRJa'Marr Chase WR·CIN19.6
TEIsaiah Likely TE·NYG12.6
FLEXJavonte Williams RB·DAL17.9
KChase McLaughlin K·TB—
DEFJAX DEF DEF·JAX8.8

Bench

Malik Willis QB·MIA16.8
A.J. Brown WR·NE14.0
Rhamondre Stevenson RB·NE12.2
Jordan Mason RB·MIN9.4
Jordan Addison WR·MIN8.2
Chig Okonkwo TE·WAS8.1
CLE DEF DEF·CLE6.0
Kenyon Sadiq TE·NYJ3.9
Travis Hunter DB·JAX3.5
Cyrus Allen WR·KC1.0
Jayden Reed WR·GB—
Josh Jacobs RB·GB—

The linehold 4.5%

Kwilcut1-17-31072.3%

TShaw21+17+24527.7%

O/U 251spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

Kwilcut1134.1 proj

QBJoe Burrow QB·CIN22.1
RBKenneth Walker III RB·KC21.0
RBJames Cook III RB·BUF15.0
WRZay Flowers WR·BAL16.2
WRTee Higgins WR·CIN16.8
TEHarold Fannin Jr. TE·CLE11.1
FLEXJalen Coker WR·CAR15.5
KBrandon Aubrey K·DAL9.9
DEFKC DEF DEF·KC6.5

Bench

Brenton Strange TE·JAX11.0
Malik Washington WR·MIA10.2
Rashid Shaheed WR·SEA5.9
Jaylen Wright RB·MIA4.2
Brandin Cooks WR·SF3.0
Ray Davis RB·BUF0.9
Roschon Johnson RB·CHI—
James Conner RB·ARI—
Baker Mayfield QB·TB—
Jalen Hurts QB·PHI—
Romeo Doubs WR·NE—
Brian Robinson Jr. RB·ATL—

TShaw21112.2 proj

QBBrock Purdy QB·SF22.9
RBDerrick Henry RB·BAL15.5
RBQuinshon Judkins RB·CLE10.8
WROmar Cooper Jr. WR·NYJ10.1
WRStefon Diggs WR·WAS11.4
TEBrock Bowers TE·LV17.1
FLEXAaron Jones Sr. RB·MIN10.1
KJason Myers K·SEA8.8
DEFNE DEF DEF·NE5.5

Bench

C.J. Stroud QB·HOU16.2
Garrett Wilson WR·NYJ14.6
Justin Herbert QB·LAC13.3
Denzel Boston WR·CLE9.6
Dylan Sampson RB·CLE7.3
Kimani Vidal RB·LAC7.1
Devaughn Vele WR·NO5.0
Seth McGowan RB·IND5.0
Davante Adams WR·LAR—
Dallas Goedert TE·PHI—
Brandon Aiyuk WR·SF—
Kenny Gainwell RB·TB—

Projected totals are each team’s optimal lineup for the week off Sleeper’s player projections. Once games kick off the card switches to live points and refreshes on the sync cadence.

The line is set from the projected margin and each side’s modeled volatility. Moneyline prices carry a ~4.5% house hold; spreads are priced -110 both ways. You’re the house — these are your numbers to open with, shade them however you like.