2026 · Week 1

Projected scores (optimal lineup off Sleeper's weekly projections)

The linehold 4.5%

jkues25-4.5-14556.6%

jbrand23+4.5+12043.4%

O/U 227.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

jkues25115.4 proj

QBKyler Murray QB·MIN17.4
RBJonathan Taylor RB·IND19.6
RBOmarion Hampton RB·LAC15.6
WRRashee Rice WR·KC14.5
WRMarvin Harrison WR·ARI10.7
TEHunter Henry TE·NE9.4
FLEXRico Dowdle RB·PIT12.5
KKa'imi Fairbairn K·HOU6.8
DEFPIT DEF DEF·PIT8.9

Bench

Sam Darnold QB·SEA17.1
Khalil Shakir WR·BUF11.4
Deebo Samuel WR·SF10.1
AJ Barner TE·SEA9.3
Jalen Nailor WR·LV8.3
Keenan Allen WR·IND7.9
Cooper Kupp WR·SEA7.9
DEN DEF DEF·DEN7.2
Jake Elliott K·PHI6.0
DJ Giddens RB·IND1.5
Tank Dell WR·HOU—

jbrand23111.7 proj

QBDrake Maye QB·NE19.7
RBCam Skattebo RB·NYG14.0
RBRachaad White RB·WAS10.3
WRNico Collins WR·HOU17.4
WRJameson Williams WR·DET13.9
TEDalton Kincaid TE·BUF9.4
FLEXQuentin Johnston WR·LAC11.1
KCameron Dicker K·LAC7.2
DEFPHI DEF DEF·PHI8.7

Bench

Wan'Dale Robinson WR·TEN9.9
Xavier Worthy WR·KC9.8
T.J. Hockenson TE·MIN8.4
Tyjae Spears RB·TEN8.2
Makai Lemon WR·PHI6.0
Mike Washington RB·LV4.7
Tyrone Tracy RB·NYG4.1
Braelon Allen RB·NYJ3.9
Travis Hunter DB·JAX3.6
Kaelon Black RB·SF1.9
Fernando Mendoza QB·LV—

The linehold 4.5%

jheinz2557-10-18562.3%

Trevor+10+15537.7%

O/U 269.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

Trevor129.9 proj

QBPatrick Mahomes QB·KC17.1
RBJahmyr Gibbs RB·DET23.7
RBKyren Williams RB·LAR14.4
WRPuka Nacua WR·LAR20.5
WRCeeDee Lamb WR·DAL17.1
TEJake Ferguson TE·DAL9.7
FLEXDavid Montgomery RB·HOU13.9
KEddy Pineiro K·SF6.4
DEFLAR DEF DEF·LAR7.1

Bench

Tyler Shough QB·NO17.2
Cam Ward QB·TEN15.1
Kayshon Boutte WR·HOU9.6
Tre Tucker WR·LV9.5
Darren Waller TE·CAR8.0
Kyle Monangai RB·CHI7.4
Jalen McMillan WR·TB7.3
Isaac TeSlaa WR·DET5.0
Oronde Gadsden TE·LAC4.8
Terrance Ferguson TE·LAR3.7
Ted Hurst WR·TB3.2
Tyreek Hill WR—

jheinz2557140.0 proj

QBLamar Jackson QB·BAL20.9
RBBijan Robinson RB·ATL21.5
RBSaquon Barkley RB·PHI14.9
WRJaxon Smith-Njigba WR·SEA19.7
WRJustin Jefferson WR·MIN16.8
TEColston Loveland TE·CHI14.2
FLEXChase Brown RB·CIN16.8
KWill Reichard K·MIN6.7
DEFLAC DEF DEF·LAC8.5

Bench

Caleb Williams QB·CHI19.6
DeVonta Smith WR·PHI14.9
Christian Watson WR·GB13.7
Tucker Kraft TE·GB10.9
Courtland Sutton WR·DEN10.6
George Kittle TE·SF10.1
Ryan Flournoy WR·DAL7.3
DET DEF DEF·DET7.3
Malachi Fields WR·NYG6.9
George Holani RB·SEA5.6
Germie Bernard WR·PIT5.4
Isiah Pacheco RB·DET—

The linehold 4.5%

rafeldm-12.5-22566.1%

keithwolf+12.5+18033.9%

O/U 252.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

keithwolf107.4 proj

QBJared Goff QB·DET18.2
RBDe'Von Achane RB·MIA17.5
RBTreVeyon Henderson RB·NE—
WRGeorge Pickens WR·DAL16.6
WRJaylen Waddle WR·DEN14.8
TETravis Kelce TE·KC11.0
FLEXJaylen Warren RB·PIT13.3
KJake Bates K·DET7.2
DEFSEA DEF DEF·SEA8.8

Bench

Daniel Jones QB·IND15.8
Mike Evans WR·SF12.8
J.K. Dobbins RB·DEN11.0
Juwan Johnson TE·NO10.4
Tony Pollard RB·TEN10.0
Rashod Bateman WR·BAL7.6
Keaton Mitchell RB·LAC6.6
Adonai Mitchell WR·NYJ6.5
Chris Bell WR·MIA4.1
Kaleb Johnson RB·GB3.6
Jordyn Tyson WR·NO—

rafeldm132.4 proj

QBJoe Burrow QB·CIN20.1
RBChristian McCaffrey RB·SF21.0
RBRJ Harvey RB·DEN10.2
WRAmon-Ra St. Brown WR·DET19.8
WRA.J. Brown WR·NE16.8
TETrey McBride TE·ARI15.6
FLEXTee Higgins WR·CIN15.6
KHarrison Butker K·KC6.4
DEFGB DEF DEF·GB6.9

Bench

Bo Nix QB·DEN17.9
Harold Fannin TE·CLE11.6
Mark Andrews TE·BAL10.9
Pat Bryant WR·DEN7.3
Malik Davis RB·DAL4.6
David Njoku TE·LAC4.0
Emmett Johnson RB·KC3.9
Alvin Kamara RB·NO3.3
Zachariah Branch WR·ATL2.6
Nicholas Singleton RB·TEN1.5
Trey Benson RB·ARI—
Josh Jacobs RB·GB—

The linehold 4.5%

jwilson2309-24.5-60082.5%

lukepakosta+24.5+40017.5%

O/U 226spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

lukepakosta99.4 proj

QBTrevor Lawrence QB·JAX17.8
RBBlake Corum RB·LAR8.5
RBJacory Croskey-Merritt RB·WAS10.8
WRLuther Burden WR·CHI13.5
WRDK Metcalf WR·PIT11.9
TEDalton Schultz TE·HOU9.4
FLEXTerry McLaurin WR·WAS13.6
KHarrison Mevis K·LAR7.1
DEFCHI DEF DEF·CHI6.8

Bench

Dak Prescott QB·DAL18.9
Matthew Stafford QB·LAR17.0
DJ Moore WR·BUF12.1
Michael Wilson WR·ARI11.3
Chig Okonkwo TE·WAS9.1
Alec Pierce WR·IND8.8
Chris Rodriguez RB·JAX8.1
Woody Marks RB·HOU8.1
De'Zhaun Stribling WR·SF6.9
Justice Hill RB·BAL5.2
Ja'Kobi Lane WR·BAL5.1
Zach Charbonnet RB·SEA—

jwilson2309120.9 proj

QBJordan Love QB·GB17.4
RBJavonte Williams RB·DAL15.5
RBBucky Irving RB·TB12.2
WRJa'Marr Chase WR·CIN19.7
WRDrake London WR·ATL15.8
TEIsaiah Likely TE·NYG9.6
FLEXTetairoa McMillan WR·CAR14.0
KTrey Smack K·GB7.2
DEFJAX DEF DEF·JAX9.5

Bench

Malik Willis QB·MIA16.9
Rhamondre Stevenson RB·NE16.4
Jayden Reed WR·GB13.1
Emeka Egbuka WR·TB11.7
Jordan Addison WR·MIN11.2
MarShawn Lloyd RB·GB10.9
Jordan Mason RB·MIN9.1
TEN DEF DEF·TEN8.1
Dontayvion Wicks WR·PHI7.9
Kenyon Sadiq TE·NYJ4.0
Cyrus Allen WR·KC1.7

The linehold 4.5%

jgunner34-1-11551.6%

Kwilcut1+1-10048.4%

O/U 236.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

Kwilcut1105.5 proj

QBJalen Hurts QB·PHI20.0
RBJames Cook RB·BUF17.1
RBKenneth Walker RB·KC16.0
WRLadd McConkey WR·LAC13.3
WRZay Flowers WR·BAL15.6
TEBrenton Strange TE·JAX8.2
FLEXBrandon Aubrey K·DAL6.8
KKC DEF DEF·KC8.5

Bench

Baker Mayfield QB·TB17.2
Jalen Coker WR·CAR12.1
Romeo Doubs WR·NE10.6
KC Concepcion WR·CLE9.5
Rashid Shaheed WR·SEA9.1
Malik Washington WR·MIA8.4
Brian Robinson RB·ATL5.0
Ray Davis RB·BUF3.9
Jaylen Wright RB·MIA2.8
Jordan James RB·SF1.7
Brashard Smith RB·KC0.9
Kyle Williams WR·NE0.3
James Conner RB·ARI—

jgunner34118.4 proj

QBJosh Allen QB·BUF21.1
RBTravis Etienne RB·NO15.0
RBBreece Hall RB·NYJ13.9
WRChris Olave WR·NO16.2
WRRome Odunze WR·CHI11.5
TESam LaPorta TE·DET13.5
FLEXJeremiyah Love RB·ARI13.3
KCam Little K·JAX6.5
DEFBAL DEF DEF·BAL7.4

Bench

Jaxson Dart QB·NYG19.4
Carnell Tate WR·TEN11.8
Bhayshul Tuten RB·JAX11.3
Kyle Pitts TE·ATL10.9
Brian Thomas WR·JAX10.5
Matthew Golden WR·GB9.9
Jonathon Brooks RB·CAR9.4
Tyler Allgeier RB·ARI8.5
Jerry Jeudy WR·CLE7.4
HOU DEF DEF·HOU7.1
Brandon Aiyuk WR·SF—

The linehold 4.5%

Locko-2-12552.9%

TShaw21+2+10547.1%

O/U 224.5spread -110 both sides

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▸ Rosters & projections

Locko113.0 proj

QBJayden Daniels QB·WAS19.0
RBAshton Jeanty RB·LV13.8
RBQuinshon Judkins RB·CLE12.2
WRMalik Nabers WR·NYG13.9
WRJosh Downs WR·IND12.5
TETyler Warren TE·IND13.9
FLEXD'Andre Swift RB·CHI13.6
KEvan McPherson K·CIN6.8
DEFMIN DEF DEF·MIN7.3

Bench

Chris Godwin WR·TB11.0
Michael Pittman WR·PIT10.8
Jakobi Meyers WR·JAX10.4
Chuba Hubbard RB·CAR10.3
Jadarian Price RB·SEA9.8
Caleb Douglas WR·MIA5.4
Tank Bigsby RB·PHI5.0
Antonio Williams WR·WAS3.1
Jonah Coleman RB·DEN2.9
Ricky Pearsall WR·SF—
Jayden Higgins WR·HOU—

TShaw21110.2 proj

QBJustin Herbert QB·LAC18.1
RBDerrick Henry RB·BAL15.7
RBAaron Jones RB·MIN9.1
WRGarrett Wilson WR·NYJ13.5
WRDavante Adams WR·LAR12.3
TEBrock Bowers TE·LV16.0
FLEXParker Washington WR·JAX11.9
KJason Myers K·SEA6.9
DEFNE DEF DEF·NE6.7

Bench

Brock Purdy QB·SF18.8
C.J. Stroud QB·HOU16.2
Stefon Diggs WR·WAS11.4
Devaughn Vele WR·NO9.8
Dallas Goedert TE·PHI9.8
Kenny Gainwell RB·TB9.5
Denzel Boston WR·CLE7.8
Dylan Sampson RB·CLE6.7
Omar Cooper WR·NYJ3.9
Kimani Vidal RB·LAC1.3
Roschon Johnson RB·CHI0.3

Projected totals are each team’s optimal lineup for the week off Sleeper’s player projections. Once games kick off the card switches to live points and refreshes on the sync cadence.

The line is set from the projected margin and each side’s modeled volatility. Moneyline prices carry a ~4.5% house hold; spreads are priced -110 both ways. You’re the house — these are your numbers to open with, shade them however you like.